Brad Keselowski went into Phoenix International Raceway trailing Jimmie Johnson for the points lead, he left the race with a sixth place finish – and a 20 point lead over Johnson going into the last race of the season at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
The difference was a blown tire and crash for Johnson on lap 235 of the AdvoCare500 – it turned the title picture around again, and put all of the cards into Keselowski’s hand.
With a 20 point lead going into the final race, Keselowski only has to finish 15th or better, without leading a lap. He can finish 16th by leading a lap or even 17th if he leads the most laps.He has finished inside the top ten every Chase race aside from Charlotte, where he finished right outside in 11th.
|RACE||STARTING SPOT||FINISHING SPOT|
|2012 CHASE RACE FINISHES||Charlotte||20||11|
Keselowski’s stats at Homestead don’t exactly paint a clear picture – in four starts he has an average finish of 20.2, but it goes to say that Keselowski is having his best season yet. The only way for Keselowski to lose his chance at the title would be an early wreck or engine failure at Homestead.
Johnson’s numbers at Homestead are good but not great. He has four top 5 finishes in his 11 races at the track. He has led a total of 74 laps.
Keselowski has only finished outside the top fifteen six times this season. Four involving wrecks and two 18th place finishes. The cards are all in Keselowski’s hand – as the only thing between him and the championship is 267 laps around Homesteads 1.5 mile track.
It is now Keselowski’s title to lose.